August 28, 2023 | Fresh data from Germany hints at an economic slowdown. Why It Matters: China’s economic ripples are washing up on German shores. The European Union’s performance will be our key indicator if China’s demand is on the upswing again.Source: thedailyshot
...August 28, 2023 | Initial Pulic offerings (IPOs) and capital markets are still mostly shut — barely outpacing 2022. Why It Matters: Surprising… Even with yhe stock market moving higher, capital markets aren’t bustling. Could this signal the stock market’s strength isn’t as solid as believed? Source: dailychartbook
...August 28, 2023 | The U.S. 30 year mortgage rate soars to 7.57%, the highest in 20+ years. Why It Matters: The spread between mortgage rates and long-term U.S. bonds suggests if rates surged too quickly. Signs now? The quick sprint could lead to an upcoming slowdown. Source: Source Financial Advisors
...June 12 2023 | The ratio of stock to bond volatility has plunged to an almost 30 year low. Why It Matters: The stock and bond markets are projecting contrasting forecasts. The stock markets foresee stability ahead, while bond markets anticipate choppier seas. Source: thedailyshot
...June 12 2023 | Markets have been hyper-focused on the slowdown in wage growth and its impact on demand. Why It Matters: While everyone’s attention is on wage growth, job growth is actually a better predictor of consumption. Job growth continues to be stronger than expected. Source: Gavekal
...June 12 2023 | Three massive emerging market economies are in disinflationary mode: China, India, and Brazil. Why It Matters: A continuing slowing pace of inflation could be good news for stocks as they react more to changes in inflation rather than its actual level. Source: Gavekal
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